What we say to deniers:
What Deniers Hear
Update: Great examples of this phenomenon at work here and here.
Lucia is coming after me for this piece. I said in its defense:
Update: Another excellent example of the Puppy Position from comments at Kloor's:
Reasons to be skeptical:
It’s a cost benefit analysis and you have to weigh both -or, more accurately, all - sides. Of course, world view (politics) affects percieved costs. Of course, percieved trust in the messenger affects the percieved benefit. Ever was it thus.
- 1) government funded science concludes: we need more government to fund more science. And, oh by the way, a few billions for my rent seeking buddies.
- 2) Al Gore lied. Argue if you must.
- 3) None of the alternatives, except maybe nuclear, will work
- 4) Nuclear, which might actually work, is eschewed
- 5) Big-Oil-Funded disinformation campaign. Not trusting my economic future to folks who peddle this drivel.
- 6) Odds, for now, of implementing/enforcing an effective global CO2 reduction program: 0%.
- 7) Odds that any seemingly global CO2 reduction program is actually a brazen third world money grab: 100%
- 8) RC, CP, and the “scientific” echo chambers.
- 9) Odds that global decarbonization will significantly restrict freedoms: 100%
- 10) Good things that flow from restricted freedom: none
- 11) Bad things that flow from restricted freedom: lots and lots.
- 12) Odds of enormous unintended consequences flowing from aforementioned CO2 reduction program: 100%
- 13) Scientists behaving badly, then pretending not to have behaved badly, then pretending that it doesn’t matter because… well we’re scientists.
- 14) Other scientists tolerating/excusing scientists who behave badly.
- 14) Scientists pretending to understand the consequences of warming. They don’t. And benefits are categorically ignored.
- 15) Odds that Dr. Murphy will reveal a new, different, and certain planetary crises the minute humanity sinks its disposable resources in a decarbonization program to forestall the maybe, might-be problem of global warming: I’d rather not find out.
Our best course of action, for now, is to do, basically, nothing. Over time, uncertainties in climate sciences will resolve, energy technology will improve, wealth will accrue. Acting now would be premature and too risky.
Update: Willard has Grypo Saurus's version of current events.