"System change is now inevitable. Either because we do something about it, or because we will be hit by climate change. '...

"We need to develop economic models that are fit for purpose. The current economic frameworks, the ones that dominate our governments, these frameworks... the current economic frameworks, the neoclassical, the market frameworks, can deal with small changes. It can tell you the difference, if a sock company puts up the price of socks, what the demand for socks will be. It cannot tell you about the sorts of system level changes we are talking about here. We would not use an understanding of laminar flow in fluid dynamics to understand turbulent flow. So why is it we are using marginal economics, small incremental change economics, to understand system level changes?"

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Snow "Thing of the Past" Prediction?

Just one guy talking through his sleeve to a lazy journalist with no science background. Thanks to Potholer54 for the research!

2 comments:

Layzej said...

According to the Independent this prediction was made in 2000 by CRU's Dr David Viner

'According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become "a very rare and exciting event".'

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html [independent.co.uk]

This seems like a foolish thing to have said given Britain's latitude.

Michael Tobis said...

Yes, and if you watch the video, it certainly appears as if he wishes he had never said it. But he pretty clearly never published it, and there isn't anybody else who said it, so write it off as a mistaken blurt by a single person, please, and don't be tarring the whole of science with it.