Everybody's favorite river seems to flow in every corner of the world.
For instance, consider how quickly Floridians stop worrying about hurricanes.
Meanwhile, Dot Earth reports that US science agencies shy away from the question of how to deal with the fractured communications between science and the public. I have to say that when I first heard about this issue I had some doubts about Glantz's association with NCAR but he makes a very cogent case.
MT,
ReplyDeleteThere is a paper by James Elsner in press at GRL that was also a presentation at the April AMS conference relating to an inverse sunspot number-tropical cyclone intensity relationship in the Caribbean. Elsner hypothesizes that the solar influence on the lower stratosphere provides a "lid" on storm intensity.
If, if, if this hypothesis has any merit, I assume the implication would be that continued stratospheric cooling due to anthropogenic emissions would have the same effect as lower solar activity and result in increased cyclone intensity for that region.
Something else for Floridians to keep in mind when considering a possible hurricane-AGW link.