An inordinate number of major U.S. floods this yearI think Nielsen-Gammon was wrong in his analysis of the Nashville flood.
We've had an inordinate number of severe floods in the U.S. so far this year. The worst was the May Tennessee flood, which killed 31 people--the highest death toll from a non-tropical cyclone flooding event in the U.S. since 1994, and the most devastating disaster in Tennessee since the Civil War. The Tennessee floods were rated as a 1000-year flood for Middle Tennessee, West Tennessee, South Central and Western Kentucky and northern Mississippi.
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We cannot say that any of this year's flooding disasters were definitely due to global warming, and part of the reason for this year's numerous U.S. flooding disasters is simply bad luck. However, higher temperatures do cause an increased chance of heavy precipitation events, and it is likely that the flooding in some of this year's U.S. flooding disasters were significantly enhanced by the presence of more water vapor in the air due to global warming. We can expect a large increase in flooding disasters in the U.S. and worldwide if the climate continues to warm as expected.
"Our greatest responsibility is to be good ancestors."
-Jonas Salk
Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Jeff Masters on Flooding and Warming
Jeff Masters says, in contemplating the recent flooding disasters:
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Joe Romm has a very topical interview with Kevin Trenberth.
Jeff has put this well. It goes past the flooding to the issue of the increased moisture for snow events such as the Appalachians and mid-Atlantic states had this winter. At the Eastern Snow Conference last week this topic was discussed in detail.
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